Lemon Forecast 2021-2022

The estimated lemon production represents a 24% reduction compared with the previous season due to adverse weather conditions during 2021.

The Spanish Association AILIMPO (Inter-professional Association of Lemon and Grapefruit) estimates a total lemon crop of 1,035,000 tons for this season 2021/2022, representing a total reduction of 24% on the previous season 2020/2021 that is expected to end with a record production of 1,370,000 tons.

Weather conditions during 2021 are the responsible for this decrease. The adverse episodes of cold, wind and excess of rain that affected the flowering process and fruit setting in some areas will heavily impact this season’s production.

Due to the volume reduction, it is also expected a recovery of prices that will affect different parties within the supply chain, from growers to retailers. Especially important for smaller growers and to guarantee the sustainability of the crops, this recovery will help to achieve a correct price balance in the industry.

In regards of varieties, Primofiori production is expected to decrease 16% in comparison with the season 2019-20, while verna lemon harvest is forecast to a production of 215,000 tonnes, which would mean a significant reduction of 45% compared to the last season.

In this season, Spain continues to be the leading exporter of fresh lemon and straightens its commercial position in Europe with both, conventional and organic lemons. A greater percentage of the lemon crop will be destined to the fresh market.